What is
your understanding of Covid 19 – the way it has affected people ? – are you in
a Red zone or Containment Zone. Are you
seeing / hearing of people known to you, residing closer to you ? How much do
you fear ? – how many times you venture out in a week ? – and what does the
media news / newspapers convey to you on the spread of Corona virus. Life is all about spreadsheets, powerpoints,
videos and … .. statistics - Stats is always as blind men see the elephant – the perspective that
you see matters !
India is a Nation having
States – and many of States have population equivalent to that of many Nations
of the World. Here is a map depicting the same.
First the news
that you were waiting for or that you perhaps expected to happen. Tamil Nadu
government has extended the lockdown in containment zones till June 30, while
announcing phased relaxations on several fronts, as announced by the Centre on
Saturday.
In a long statement issued
on Sunday morning, Chief minister Mr. Edappadi K Palaniswami sought to drive
home the need to continue restrictions in containment zones, even while taking
steps to facilitate revival of economic activities in towns and rural areas to
help people sustain their livelihood. Industries and private enterprises,
outside Greater Chennai police limits, can function with 100% employees and
workers.
Public transport,
including private stage carriers, can operate in most parts of the state,
barring Chennai and neighbouring districts, from June 1 with 50% of service
being permitted with 60% occupancy. The state has been divided into eight zones
for the purpose. Greater Chennai (Zone VIII) and Chengalpet, Kanchipuram and
Thiruvallur (Zone VII) will remain off bound for bus transport. Restaurants can
open across the state from June 8, but with 50% occupancy BUT, religious places will
remain shut and congregations banned till June 30. Areas coming under
Greater Chennai police limits, which have been reporting higher number of Covid
positive cases, will continue to remain under lot more restrictions, than other
parts of the state. Cabs, taxis, autos and cycle rickshaws can ply in the whole
of the state, including Chennai, with restrictions in the number of passengers.
Five months into the
global outbreak, the world is racing against time to prepare a vaccine for
coronavirus. Trials are underway in laboratories across the world with several
companies and governments doubling their efforts to find a permanent cure for
the deadly virus. World leaders and organisations have already pledged $8 billion to research,
manufacture and distribute a possible vaccine and treatments for COVID-19 apart
from the individual efforts taken by the countries and its pharmaceutical
firms.
In Brazil,
even with new cases still trending upward and over 465,166 people infected,
officials announced that São Paulo, the largest city in South America, would
begin to reopen this week. The
German chancellor Angela Merkel announced earlier Saturday that she would not
travel to the U.S. for the G7. President Trump told reporters on Saturday that
he was postponing a Group of 7 meeting scheduled to be held in the United
States next month. Making the announcement while returning from the SpaceX
launch in Florida, he said he also planned to invite South Korea, Australia and
India to the summit, with an adviser adding that the idea was to bring together
traditional allies to discuss China. He said he now wants to hold the meeting
in September.
The United
States Supreme Court on Friday turned away a request from a church in
California to block enforcement of state restrictions on attendance at
religious services. The vote was 5 to 4, with Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr.
joining the court’s four-member liberal wing to form a majority. It was the
court’s first attempt to balance the public health crisis against the
Constitution’s protection of religious freedom.
President Donald Trump
announced Friday that he would withdraw funding from the World Health Organisation,
end Hong Kong’s special trade status and suspend visas of Chinese graduate
students suspected of conducting research on behalf of their government,
escalating tensions with China that have surged during the coronavirus
pandemic. Trump has been expressing anger at the World Health Organisation for
weeks over what he has portrayed as an inadequate response to the initial
outbreak of the coronavirus in China’s Wuhan province late last year.
For the second straight
day, the number of daily coronavirus cases in India hit a new high. The states
registered 7,964 new cases in last 24 hours. The total number of coronavirus
cases in India surged to 173,763. Maharashtra continued to record the highest
number of fresh cases in a single day. Several other states including Delhi,
Tamil Nadu, Haryana, Uttarakhand also witnessed a huge spike in daily COVID-19
count. So that
puts India at No.9 in the list of Nations affected, while Tamil Nadu is no. 2
in the list of States – how do you read that ? Statistics again !
There is nothing to be
scared of, underlined Delhi chief minister Arvind Kejriwal, stressing that the
state government is four steps ahead of the coronavirus disease. The CM also emphasised that the country
cannot be in a permanent lockdown. There is a nationwide lockdown, till May 31,
in place to halt the spread of the coronavirus disease. In Delhi, coronavirus
cases rose to 17,386 today, and there have been 398 deaths. Nationally,
Maharashtra accounts for the highest number of coronavirus cases, followed by
Tamil Nadu, Delhi and Gujarat. The Delhi government has demanded Rs 5,000 crore
assistance from the Centre to be able to pay salaries to its employees, Deputy
Chief Minister Manish Sisodia said on Sunday. Sisodia, who also holds the
finance department charge, said the Delhi government requires Rs 3,500 crore
per month to pay salaries to its employees and to meet other needs.
To most of us it would appear
that India is reaching peak in the list of Nations, while Tamilnadu is
following up Maharashtra. Some States
including Delhi claim the situation to be in control. BUT see the statistics in a different
perspective – that of no. of people affected / no. of deaths as a % of the
total population – you may see the map differently.
First the World population
data extrapolated covid statistics :
Rank
|
Nation
|
Affected
|
Death
|
Population
|
Affected%
|
Death %
|
1
|
USA
|
1816897
|
105557
|
330838184
|
0.549
|
0.000319
|
2
|
Brazil
|
499966
|
28849
|
212430396
|
0.235
|
0.000136
|
3
|
Russia
|
405843
|
4693
|
145929337
|
0.278
|
0.000032
|
4
|
Spain
|
286308
|
27125
|
46753295
|
0.612
|
0.000580
|
5
|
UK
|
272826
|
38376
|
67855909
|
0.402
|
0.000566
|
6
|
Italy
|
232664
|
33340
|
60469020
|
0.385
|
0.000551
|
7
|
France
|
188625
|
28771
|
65261548
|
0.289
|
0.000441
|
8
|
Germany
|
183294
|
8600
|
83761616
|
0.219
|
0.000103
|
9
|
India
|
182681
|
5186
|
1378826256
|
0.013
|
0.000004
|
In a similar analogy, the
statistics of the State in comparison of the population :
State
|
Covid cases
|
deaths
|
Population
|
% of total
|
Affected %
|
Death %
|
Maharashtra
|
62228
|
2098
|
123144223
|
9.70%
|
0.0505
|
0.0017
|
Tamil Nadu
|
20246
|
154
|
77841267
|
5.68%
|
0.0260
|
0.0002
|
Delhi
|
17386
|
398
|
18710922
|
1.36%
|
0.0929
|
0.0021
|
Gujarat
|
15394
|
980
|
63872399
|
5.68%
|
0.0241
|
0.0015
|
Rajasthan
|
8365
|
184
|
81032689
|
5.93%
|
0.0103
|
0.0002
|
1378826256
|
As regards migrants and
the way they are handled, you would have heard of Schengen area – comprising of 26
European states that have officially abolished all passport and all other types
of border control at their mutual borders. The area mostly functions as a
single jurisdiction for international travel purposes, with a common visa
policy. The area is named after the 1985 Schengen Agreement signed in Schengen,
Luxembourg. For people living across the
continent, the sudden closure of borders came as a shock and fundamentally
reordered life for millions who came of age in an era defined by frictionless
travel.
Covid 19 for sure has
affected the World. Before concluding
even Chennai cannot be looked in totality.
Chennai city has 13980 people affected – it is divided into 15 zones of
which 6 zones have nos. more than 1000 contributing to more than 71% of the
cases; the rest of 9 zones put together are 29%. Zone 5 Royapuram tops with 2589; 10
Kodambakkam has 1709; 9 Teynampet has 1557;4 Tondiarpet 1536; 6 Thiru Vi Ka Nagar 1494; Anna Nagar 1180.
So, in lockdown
5.0 – remain at home, do not venture out unless most essential, keep social
distance, wash your hands and be safe !
With regards – S.
Sampathkumar
31.5.2020
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