How much
Science, Maths would go to treatment of Covid 19 ! One could observe and anguish the cynicism
and abject stinging of Western media when it comes to commenting on developing
countries [read British media on India] – sad part is many Indian media too would
try to ape that !!
The demographics
are different – people are different yet the TN Govt,especially the Health
Minister Dr C Vijayabaskar is at the forefront fighting the Covid, taking the
Govt measures to people. Today on twitter, he is seen inaugurating mobile
ration shop for the benefit of the poor.
Recently, the British Govt introduced a novel plan dubbed “Eat Out to
Help Out,” the government paid half of
everyone’s restaurant bills up to 10 pounds per meal every Monday, Tuesday, and
Wednesday in August — for all diners, in groups of any size, as often as people
wanted, indoors or out. At the time, face masks were not required in
most eating establishments. According to Boris Johnson and finance minister
Rishi Sunak, the point of the plan was to help save jobs in the restaurant
industry. The public was more than happy
to eat on the government’s dime and did so 100 million times between August 3
and 31, at a cost of £522 million (about $694 million), per Her Majesty’s
Revenue and Customs, the IRS of the UK.
Moving to Covid
statistically, Tamil Nadu recorded 5185
positive cases on Friday (9.10.20), bringing the state tally to 6,46,128. Among
these, Chennai reported 1288 positive cases, bringing the city’s total to
1,79,424. The state recorded 68 deaths on Friday, putting the state toll at
10,120. 64 of them had succumbed due to comorbidities. .. .. Chennai seemingly is cavalier and false
bravado in facing Covid !!
India reported
73,272 coronavirus cases and 926 deaths in the last 24 hours ending 8 am on
Saturday, 10.10.20. With this, the total number of infections rose to 69,79,424
including 1,07,416 deaths, 8,83,185 active cases
and 59,88,823 recoveries, according to the
Union Health Ministry. The recovery rate has risen to
85.81 per cent and the case fatality rate was recorded at 1.54 per cent.
Kerala,
the first state to get the novel coronavirus, took four-and-a-half months to
record its first 10,000 infections. This Wednesday, it reported more than
10,000 infections in a single day. There was a time Kerala was feted globally
for effectively containing the spread of the virus. Over the past few weeks, it
has seen more cases every day than any other state barring Maharashtra and
Karnataka.
For
seven straight days now, the detection of new cases of coronavirus infection in
INDIA has remained lower than the number of people
recovering from the disease. This is the longest unbroken run for this trend so
far. The
new detections have remained lower than the recoveries on 17 of the last 22
days, resulting in an important reduction in the number of active cases in the
country, from a high of 10.17 lakh to less than 8.9 lakh. On Friday, about
73,000 new infections were detected, while nearly 83,000 people were declared
to have recovered from the disease.
New
cases remaining lower than the recoveries is a very welcome trend, as it might
be an indication of the epidemic having peaked, at least when the trend holds
for at least a few weeks at a stretch. In the current epidemic, however, it is
still too premature to talk about a peak, since the epidemic is nowhere close
to having run its course. An epidemic like this can end only if there aren’t
enough people left for the virus to infect, or people have been made immune to
the virus through vaccination. None of this has happened right now.
Miles away, in UK, the seven-day
rolling average for much of the summer was regularly below 1,000 cases a day,
it began increasing in September, and by October 5, the new average had reached
15,505. The counts are complicated by test shortages and changes in the way
cases are counted, but it’s clear the country is going through a serious second
wave. UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson is set to unveil a new three-tier system
of measures alongside local regions across the country being handed greater
decision-making powers as part of efforts to slow the spread of coronavirus. The
new so-called “traffic light” system, to be laid out in the House of Commons on
Monday, will see the most severe measures imposed for areas of England fall
within the third tier and people being ordered not to have any social contact
with anyone outside their household together with the expected closures of
pubs, bars and restaurants where some of the highest numbers of cases are
occurring.
Statistically, of
the 3,68,86,080 global cases 5,75,679 is from United Kingdom – more than the
numbers read this newsitem from MailOnline. Ministers could use an algorithm to help decide which
vulnerable people in coronavirus hotspots should stay at home and shield, it emerged today, as the
Government admitted the spread of the disease is 'getting out of control'. The Government is said to be working on a
'tailored shielding' scheme, led by deputy chief medical officer Jenny Harries,
which could see hundreds of thousands of people told to avoid others in the
coming winter months. The plan is not
yet finalised amid concerns about the impact a return to shielding could have
on mental health but The Times said ministers are looking at using an algorithm developed by
Oxford University to inform decisions on who should isolate.
The potential use of an algorithm to
come up with shielding guidance is likely to spark concerns after faulty
computer modelling led to the A-level results debacle. It is thought advice for the most vulnerable
not to mix with others could be included in the top tier of the Government's
new three tier lockdown system which is widely expected to be unveiled on
Monday. Boris Johnson's plans would see the country split into three tiers,
with the worst hit areas in the north of England placed in the top tier and
told to close pubs and restaurants to slow the spread of the disease.
Pressure on the Government from
scientists and opposition politicians is growing after infection rates
continued to spike, with 17,540 new cases and 77 deaths reported yesterday. Skills Minister Gillian Keegan told the BBC's
Question Time : 'This is serious, it is
getting out of control and we have to do something to bring it back under
control.' Her stark admission came amid
reports that experts on the Government's Scientific Advisory Group for
Emergencies (SAGE) fear Mr Johnson's planned tier system does not go far
enough. According to the Guardian members of SAGE believe ministers should have
pulled the trigger on a nationwide 'circuit breaker' lockdown in England two or
three weeks ago when it was first discussed.
Scrutiny of the PM's plans has only
increased after Nicola Sturgeon yesterday imposed a two-week alcohol ban inside
pubs and restaurants across Scotland, while closing bars entirely in
coronavirus hotspots. The prospect of new draconian rules being imposed across
England has sparked a Tory backlash, with MPs demanding the Government set out
in detail how areas subject to the tightest restrictions will be able to get
them lifted. Ministers have been accused of using flimsy
data after they relied on figures based on fewer than 100 pubs to justify the
potential closure of tens of thousands of venues across the north of England. There is also a growing revolt among northern
political leaders as Andy Burnham, the Labour Mayor of Greater Manchester,
promised to challenge new rules 'in any way I can' if the Government closes
businesses 'without providing proper compensation'.
There were an average of 17,200 new
cases per day of Covid-19 in private households in England between September 25
and October 1, according to the latest estimates from the Office for National
Statistics (ONS). This is up from an estimated 8,400 new cases per day for the
period from September 18 to 24. The ONS said there has been a 'marked increase'
in the rate of new infections over the last six weeks. The figures do not include people
staying in hospitals, care homes or other institutional settings. .. .. .. then how accurate is their
statistics !
Statistical inaccuracies, algorithms
on whom to be treated – imagine what would be the response of British
especially BBC, if such a thing were to happen in India, Pakistan, Srilanka or
any other Asian country.
With regards –
S. Sampathkumar
10.10.2020.
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